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EconomicsOpen

Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

Resolves YES if the NBER declares a US recession starting in any month of 2026, or if real GDP contracts for two consecutive quarters in 2026.

$5.2M volume
12mo left
14857 traders

Yes

19.7%

No

80.3%

Price History

Recent Activity

C

CryptoWhale

Bought Yes

500 shares

5m ago

P

PoliticsNerd

Bought Yes

1000 shares

10m ago

S

SportsBettor

Bought No

300 shares

20m ago

T

TechBull

Bought Yes

750 shares

30m ago

Resolution Criteria

Resolution sourceNBER / BEA
Closing dateMarch 1, 2027
Market typeBinary (Yes/No)
AMM modelLMSR (b=100)

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Balance: 0 pts

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