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ScienceOpen

Will SpaceX Starship complete a successful orbital flight by Q2 2026?

Resolves YES if SpaceX's Starship completes a full orbital flight (reaches orbit and controlled reentry) before July 1, 2026.

$1.3M volume
4mo left
3828 traders

Yes

83.3%

No

16.8%

Price History

Recent Activity

T

TechBull

Bought Yes

750 shares

30m ago

Resolution Criteria

Resolution sourceSpaceX / FAA
Closing dateJuly 1, 2026
Market typeBinary (Yes/No)
AMM modelLMSR (b=100)

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Balance: 0 pts

Each share pays 1 point if the outcome resolves in your favor. Prices reflect probabilities.