Back to markets
ScienceOpen
Will GPT-5 be released before July 2026?
Resolves YES if OpenAI publicly releases a model officially named 'GPT-5' before July 1, 2026.
$1.9M volume
4mo left
5400 traders
Yes
36.1%
No
63.9%
Price History
Recent Activity
C
CryptoWhale
Bought Yes
500 shares
5m ago
P
PoliticsNerd
Bought Yes
1000 shares
10m ago
S
SportsBettor
Bought No
300 shares
20m ago
T
TechBull
Bought Yes
750 shares
30m ago
Resolution Criteria
Resolution sourceOpenAI Official Blog
Closing dateJuly 1, 2026
Market typeBinary (Yes/No)
AMM modelLMSR (b=100)
Trade
Balance: 0 pts
Each share pays 1 point if the outcome resolves in your favor. Prices reflect probabilities.