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Will China initiate military action against Taiwan in 2026?

Resolves YES if China's PLA initiates a military operation (blockade, invasion, or major military strike) against Taiwan in 2026.

$3.5M volume
10mo left
9857 traders

Yes

9.4%

No

90.6%

Price History

Recent Activity

C

CryptoWhale

Bought Yes

500 shares

5m ago

P

PoliticsNerd

Bought Yes

1000 shares

10m ago

S

SportsBettor

Bought No

300 shares

20m ago

T

TechBull

Bought Yes

750 shares

30m ago

Resolution Criteria

Resolution sourceReuters / AP
Closing dateDecember 31, 2026
Market typeBinary (Yes/No)
AMM modelLMSR (b=100)

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Balance: 0 pts

Each share pays 1 point if the outcome resolves in your favor. Prices reflect probabilities.